Morgan Rogers' Golden Spell Fuels Villa's Unlikely Title Charge
Just 60 days prior that the young forward stood on the Stadium of Light pitch, seeming perplexed as the Villa manager berated him for failing to anticipate a penetrating pass. Back then, as Villa went six without a win, doubts remained if his displays were a sign or the reason of the team's broader struggles.
“As Rogers swept in his second… Emery ripped off his thick padded coat, spread his arms and roared.”
On Sunday, however, the sideline response was much more joyous. When the England international drilled in his brace-sealing goal to reclaim the lead for Villa, the boss discarded his winter coat, threw his arms wide and bellowed. The team continued to a tenth straight victory and after failing to win their opening six fixtures, find themselves only three points behind pace-setters Arsenal.
Are They Legitimate Hopefuls?
This is an exceptionally difficult question to answer. The historical record, the perceived status of Villa, suggests not. Furthermore, they've rarely been completely commanding this season, despite the fact the wins have piled up.
As per the data, in only two games have Villa registered an expected goals figure significantly higher than the other team. For a club who have strung together ten consecutive victories, they seem weirdly vulnerable – however currently the fine lines are falling their way.
The Reliant Strategy
The prevailing tactic appears to be to exchange chances with an opponent before hoping Rogers to rescue them with some clinical strikes. This was the case against Leeds, it happened in London, and again when facing Manchester United.
Rogers' first goal stemmed from an exquisite effort, arced right inside the upright from the edge of the area. His brace-completing goal proved to be a somewhat messier replica of the opener as he pounced on an Ollie Watkins lay-off.
“Much like Robben with his left, Rogers’ right foot has become a known threat that remains brutally unstoppable, regardless of anticipation.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Common sense dictates no. Against United, Manchester United had a greater number of attempts and more direct attempts. They have secured their last eight victories by the narrowest of margins. They have allowed goals in all but one of those games.
A statistical correction might be the most significant challenge the club must confront in the near future. The forward, in all likelihood, cannot keep on blasting his shots past despairing goalkeepers indefinitely.
Potential for Growth
Perhaps there is an alternative path whereby, instead of outcomes regressing to match displays, the level of play rises to match the results. Important figures could still rediscover their best form.
- Ollie Watkins could start finding the net regularly.
- Jadon Sancho might become the force he showed at Borussia Dortmund.
- Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are set to regain fitness, strengthening a sometimes shaky backline.
This could contain the possibility for a sustained push, however, it is improbable can continue to depend solely on a single individual.
Enjoying the Ride
Yet, nobody expected this. Nobody thought Aston Villa would occupy third at Christmas. And most definitely back in October, nobody thought the young forward by the end of the year would be at the forefront of a hunt for the title and appearing as a vital player for the national team.
This remarkable period should be enjoyed precisely because it seems so surreal. As the hero stood in front of the Villa faithful at the final whistle orchestrating the applause, it was clear to be loving the experience. A feeling he has rightly earned. These runs of form are uncommon in the sport and ought to be celebrated.